Exclusive poll: Georgia may become battleground state in presidential election

ATLANTA — An exclusive poll done for Channel 2 Action News shows Georgia could be a battleground state in the race for the White House.

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Preibus has said he's watching Georgia closely to see if it could become a potential battleground state.

The Hillary Clinton campaign has it as a Tier 1 state, just below the true battleground states. New poll numbers show Georgia could be in play.


“If this trend stays as it is or goes more the other way, Georgia is in play,” said Channel 2 Political Analyst Bill Crane.

Crane told Channel 2 political reporter Lori Geary that he hasn't seen a presidential race this close in Georgia in decades.

Out of 500 likely Georgia voters polled by Landmark/Rosetta Stone, the numbers show a tight race.

Donald Trump is winning by only 2 points over Hillary Clinton. Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein tally up 8 percent of the vote together.

      Age     Race  


18-39 40-64  65 & over  White  African-American  Other
  500 139 234 127 314 160 26
 Donald Trump (Republican)   45.5%   36.6%   46.2%  53.3%  67.6%  6.2% 16.6%
Hillary Clinton (Democrat)   44.2%  46.8% 44.9% 40.2% 21.3% 87.6% 54.2%
Gary Johnson (Libertarian)  5.2% 10.8% 3.8% 1.6% 6.0% 2.5% 12.5%
Jill Stein (Green Party) 2.5% 3.6% 3.0% 0.0% 3.5% 0.6% 4.2%
Undecided 2.6% 2.2% 2.1% 4.7% 1.6% 3.1% 12.5%

“Had he (Trump) selected Newt Gingrich as his running mate, particularly among white men in Georgia, he probably would have done better,” Crane said.

Among white voters, Trump is at 68 percent. But four years ago, Mitt Romney got almost 75 percent of the white vote.

Hillary Clinton is at 21 percent with 10 percent of the white vote going for the two other candidates.

When it comes to African-American voters, the nationwide trend holds true in Georgia, Trump is at 6 percent, Hillary Clinton getting close to 90 percent support.

    Gender          Political Party       
  Male  Female   Republican  Democrat Other  Independent 
  (218) (282) (215) (188) (10) (87)
Donald Trump (Republican) 45.4% 45.7% 87.0% 3.2%   20.0%   36.8%
Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 37.7% 49.3% 5.6% 92.0%  50.0%  35.6%
Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 8.7% 2.5% 5.1% 1.1% 30.0% 11.5%
Jill Stein (Green Party) 4.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 0.0% 9.2%
 Undecided  4.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 0.0% 6.9%

“You're not supposed to say things as an analyst. I laugh out loud when I hear the Trump campaign talk about how well they're doing among Hispanic and African American voters. Other than Herman Cain, I go ‘Who?’” Crane said.

Several voters Geary talked to Monday said they don't like their choices.

“I don't trust Donald, I don't trust Hillary either. Bernie was my horse,” one voter told Geary.

“No one has really swayed me any way yet,” another voter said.

According to the poll, even the Independents, who usually trend Republican in Georgia, are close -- tied in the mid-30s for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. %